The spread between the 2 – 10 year treasury notes has not been this low (146 basis points) since December 31, 2008. With the 2 year yield a 0.30, it’s doubtful that we’ll see an inverted yield curve for the forseeable future.
Since we are in uncharted waters on interest rates we will have to wait and see if its possible to have the first recession since 1976 that has not been preceded by an inverted yield curve.
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